Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Obama Still Ahead Despite Big Clinton Victory in PA.

Hillary Clinton had a great night last night and no one can take that away from her but she still remains behind in the delegate count and the popular vote. Barack Obama was down by 20 points in PA weeks ago and cut that percentage in half to keep his overall lead intact. Hillary's win though only cut into his 150 delegate lead by 10-15 and it's hard to see how she is going to close that and top it with the few remaining states and territories left.

Plus, she can't win the popular vote without Michigan and Florida which is a tired old argument but I'll go through it again to balance out their rhetoric. Both Hillary and Obama pledged that the Michigan vote total wouldn't count and Obama wasn't even on the ballot!! She won Florida but he didn't campaign there so her win was like beating a boxer who had one hand tied behind his back because we know that when Obama fully campaigns in a state, his poll numbers shoot up--just look how he cut Clinton's lead in PA in half from his campaigning. So even if you do count the Florida results she would only net 200,000 votes which would still leave her down 300,000 just to tie him in the popular vote count. In addition, there is still North Carolina coming up where he is looking to really pad his popular vote count lead. Also, his chances look good in Oregon.

Also, even though ten points was big, Obama has had his own big victories--he won Virginia by some twenty points. In upcoming Indiana, Hillary was behind a few weeks ago and it is now just within the margin or error with him ahead by 5 points so we have to fight hard Indianans for Obama!! In North Carolina Obama is far ahead but we have to remain vigilant there too and increase that lead as much as possible. We're counting on you all in North Carolina to get out the vote for Obama.

In addition, today the Clinton campaign is resurrecting the false argument that Obama can not win rural and blue collar states. They conveniently forget about the important rural state of Missouri that Obama carried. In addition, he won the rural states of Idaho, Utah, North Dakota, Wyoming, Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Colorado (which still has a large rural population and is a very purple state).

They are also arguing that with Hillary's win in Pennsylvania that means only she can win the state in a general election campaign. However, a current poll of the state shows that both her and Obama would beat McCain in PA right now by 5 points.

So don't lose heart guys and gals, it was one night and he still holds the lead so we move on and fight to shut her down in Indiana and North Carolina. Let us not rest on our laurels, we need to fight for every vote in every state so that we can button this thing up as soon as possible. We need to donate as much cash as we can to the campaign to spread our message as much as possible. Even if you can only afford $5 it will make a difference. YES WE CAN!!!

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4 comments:

Robert Rouse said...

We're working hard in Indiana. My post today was very similar in tone to yours. Good - and smart - minds think alike!

Poodles said...

I know a lot of mormons here in Utah a strong red state that have said they would vote for Obama over McCain. I think there is still some bitterness over Romney losing to McCain. But I know none of them would vote for Clinton.

T&A said...

I sure hope he can take IN! That would be a real feather in his cap! I agree with you that NC needs to not be taken for granted and a real push to kick ass there should be undertaken!

James said...

Robert: Keep up the good work!!!

Poodles: Wow. That's almost hard to believe but I'll take every Obama supporter that we can get.

T&A: Me too, I think he has a real good chance being next door to Illinois. NC is where we need to blow the doors off this thing.