Wednesday, March 05, 2008

Despite Loses for Obama He Still Leads in Delegates. Plus, Bush Embraces McCain.

Hillary Clinton had a good night in Ohio and Rhode Island but Hillary was expected to win in R.I. And Texas was so close that it was basically a wash.

The main thing is that Obama is ahead in the delegate count. As long as he can keep that lead then he'll be the nominee. A lead is a lead.

The thing that I find amusing is that they are saying now that Hillary has the momentum. I'm sorry but winning 3 out of the last 15 races isn't exactly over-whelming momentum if momentum at all. We'll see what happens next, Barack should do well in Wyoming, (it's a caucus state and Obama does very well with caucuses) Mississippi, North Carolina and Oregon. I think that he'll give Hillary a run for her money in Pennsylvania too, at worst making it another wash.

It seems that the Clinton campaign of "throwing everything but the kitchen sink" at Obama unfortunately helped sway some voters. That being said, I think it put many other voters off and will come back to bite her in the ass in many of the following contests. If we want to play dirty then let's drag out the Clinton skeletons out of the closet: Rose Law firm, Vince Foster, the Lewinski affair, White Water, the Lincoln bedroom and on and on. The Clinton's should be the last ones to claiming that their shit doesn't stink. I think that Obama should still take the high road because this proves his point that we need to move past the politics of fear and division that the Clinton's represent. That being said, he needs to do some punching back a bit.

The "Kitchen Sink" strategy, however, came at a price for Hillary. The exist polls last night show that an overwhelming majority of voters in Ohio and Texas said Hillary unfairly attack Obama in the recent days: Hillary, 52% to Obama, 33& in Ohio and Hillary, 52s% in Texas to Obama, 36% in Texas.

The spin out of the Clinton camp is that she is better poised to do well in the general than Barack because she has won many of the big states that are important to win to gain the White House.

However, many of those big state loses were amazingly close, just look at Texas last night. Plus, it would seem logical that most of those Hillary supporters would back Obama in the general to help him win those big states. So with that base and his ability to bring in Independents as well as disaffected Republicans and at worst split them with McCain, he has a great chance to maintain his broad based appeal and ride that diverse coalition into the White House.

The other issue to raise here is that polls in Texas and Ohio had Hillary up in Texas and Ohio by double digits (20 points) before a couple weeks ago (last night about 10 points) and Obama closed that gap to nearly a tie in the Lone Star state (Texas). As for Ohio, Hillary was expected to win there so no real surprises came out of last night.

John McCain Embraces Bush at the White House:

Senator John McCain is going to the White House today to receive the endorsement of the most unpopular politician in the land, George W. Bush.

I hope McCain keeps up his man-crush on Bush because the more that he embraces Bush, the more that people associate McCain with the last disastrous 8 years.

John "Bush Boy" McCain has fully embraced Bush's Iraq debacle and the Bush tax cuts to the wealthy (basically anyone making over $200,000). So given how bad the economy is going that kind of position is going to play in the country like a lead balloon.

I don't think many in the country want to see a third Bush term because that is exactly what a McCain presidency would be.

UPDATE: I just saw Bush waiting for McCain to show up and he is awkwardly standing around outside the White House and he literally did a little tap dance!! He's so happy to have a puppet to keep his war mongering going and his disastrous economy policies.

---End of Transmission---

4 comments:

Riverwolf said...

James, I agree with your comment on "momentum." It was odd to watch the newscasts this morning and see them literally creating a story about Hillary's momentum on the spot. Yes, she technically won 3 contests--but she had previously lost around 11. Is that momentum? No, but I guess it's "news."

Part of me was glad to see her do well because I still have a soft spot for her candidacy. However, I do prefer Obama's tone now. I'm concerned that he isn't winning by larger margins. Plus there aren't that many contests left and they're spaced farther apart--which means there's more time for them to tear each other apart, and that can't be a good thing for any of us.

And I thought "American Idol" was drawn out....

Shaw Kenawe said...

We have to frame John McCain's candidacy as "Bush's Third Term."

And right you are, James, about last night's win for Hillary.

As I've said before, it is in the media's interest to keep this Democratic primary going and going. It's $$$ for them the longer it's in the news.

The fact is that Hill has won only 3 out of the last 15 primaries.

Gotta keep that meme going.

That's not a winning position.

T&A said...

I'm actually worried. This reminds me of the 1982 the NFC Championship. Obama is the Cowboys and Hillary is the 49er's. Last night was the drive to the end zone. The convention will be the catch.

If this goes to the convention, (it likely will) Obama will lose. The Super Delegates will give it to her. The only silver lining might be that she probably needs Obama as a VP in order to get ALL democrats behind her. Her Rovian tactics disgust me and I will refuse to pull the lever for her unless Obama or Edwards are on her ticket. Otherwise I'll be forced to rethink my political affiliation.

Of course I'm hoping I'm wrong, and this was a last gasp on her part...

James said...

Riverwolf:

Yeah I hope now that Hillary will stop saying that she's not getting positive coverage. Maybe the reason that she didn't get so much positive coverage is because she was playing dirty pool.

Shaw:

Yep, the media sucks. They're not doing their job. I think that's why blogs have exploded so much.

T&A:

I hear ya brother. I worry that Hillary will snake this away from the people (should Obama stay ahead in the math). The Clinton's have shown us before that they don't care about being honest.

I couldn't have cared less about the sex issue with the Clinton/Lewinsky affair. The think that pissed me off was that he lied about it.